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42   TECHNOLOGY                                                                   SEP/OCT 2025 FDM ASIA | www.fdmasia.com





          Table  3.  Green,  Red  Oak  4/4  Lumber  Prices,  per  1000   linear regression was performed to determine the break-even
          bdft (HMR 2024)
                                                             operating cost, e.g., the operating cost such that total profit
                                                             was $0.00 (Eq. 1).
                                                                As shown in Table 4, the break-even operating cost for

                                                             the 12 MMBF sawmill was found to be $2010 per hour.

                                                             Table 4. Break-even Operating Cost, Production Times,

                                                             and Costs for 12, 8, and 4 MMBF Sawmills

            SmurfitWestrock located in Covington, VA reported that
          the average price for hardwood chips, bark, and sawdust
          was $25, $17, and $17 per tonne, respectively, delivered
          FOB to the mill.
            To estimate shipping costs, a local trucking company was

          contacted for a quote to transport residue products to the   This analysis was repeated for 4 MMBF and 8 MMBF
          SmurfitWestrock mill in Covington, VA from a hypothetical   annual sawmill production volumes. The break-even operating
          sawmill 50 miles away.                             cost for the 4 MMBF and 8 MMBF sawmills was determined
            The quoted price depends on the  number of  trailers   to be $670 and $1337, respectively (Table 4).
          required to be parked at the mill to collect the residues and   Table 4 shows additional results from these operating cost
          the number of loads per day delivered to the mill.   examinations. Note the difference in processing times (hours
            Weiss quoted a price of $17 per tonne for the residues   to process 1000-log sample, Table 4) and estimated annual

          to be transported based on a mill volume of 12 MMBF. This   operating costs (Table 4) among the different annual production
          example  indicates  that  residue  products  are  not  currently  a   volumes. Based on Eq. 1, there is a linear relationship based
          profitable aspect of sawmill operation.            on production volume (MMBF) between the values presented
            However, sawmills can at least be break-even with respect   in Table 4.
          to residues and avoid tipping/disposal fees at landfills.
                                                             Statistical Methods
          Operating Cost Calculations                           Using Levene’s test, variances between operating cost,
          Given established current market prices (at the time of analysis)   log cost, and lumber and residue value groupings were found
          for logs, lumber, and residue products, and known annual   not to be equal (α = 0.05).

          production volumes and operating hours, a break-even hourly   Thus, a non-parametric approach was required to analyse
          or annual operating cost can be calculated (Eq. 1).   the differences among the cost and price groupings. To
            To calculate the operating cost, the 1,000-log sample   determine what degree of change in one or more of the cost
          was processed with LORCAT using the processing settings,   factors  (operating  cost,  log  cost,  and  lumber and  residues
          log, lumber, and residue prices that were discussed earlier.   price) resulted in a significantly different profit (loss or gain)
            For the 12 MMBF sawmill, five simulations were performed   with respect to the break-even point.
          using hourly operating costs of $1900, $1950, $2000, $2050   The Aligned Rank Transform (ART) statistical test was

          and $2100.                                         used in conjunction with R. ART allows for the analyses of
            Based on the reported total profit for each analysis,   multi-factor designs while traditional non-parametric tests
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