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TECHNOLOGY           39
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          THE IMPACT OF COST AND PRICE



          FLUCTUATIONS ON US HARDWOOD


          SAWMILL PROFIT



          Operating costs make up a considerable share of a sawmill’s cost structure and are, therefore,
          crucial for understanding the fiscal health of a given operation. Using the assumption that today’s
          depressed lumber and residue markets result in sawmills, on average, making no profit and
          incurring no loss, this study estimated operation costs of a hypothetical 4, 8, and 12 MMBF
          production hardwood sawmill in the eastern US producing red oak lumber. Using this knowledge
          and the Log Recovery Analysis Tool (LORCAT), this study found that a sawmill’s financial well-
          being is highly dependent on hardwood log and operating costs as well as lumber prices. By Urs
          Buehlmann, Virginia Tech, and Edward Thomas, US Forest Service


                    ith record low demand for graded lumber, many
                    eastern US hardwood sawmills struggle to be                                               Katja Schulz
          Wprofitable. A simple model of a sawmill’s cost
          structure consists of log cost, e.g., the raw material, and the
          operating cost, e.g., the cost of operating the mill including
          the administration to manage and sell the resulting products.

            Those products, mainly lumber and residues, hopefully
          allow a hardwood sawmill to make a profit and sustain its
          business. However, the individual cost and revenue structure
          of a sawmill is, probably, the most guarded secret of the
          industry. It can also be argued that some mills only have   important to industry practitioners.
          sporadic knowledge of their costs.                    Perkins et al., in their case study of the economic feasibility
            In the past three years, operating costs for hardwood   of a red oak small-diameter timber sawmill and pallet-part
          sawmills have increased 30-40 percent and thus have become   mill, used actual cost information based on the participating
          increasingly scrutinised by operators to ensure the long-term   mill’s 2005 operation data.

          survival of the sawmill.                              These authors give a detailed accounting of the hypothetical
            Knowledge of operating costs helps determine the success   sawmill cost components, with log costs being “the single
          of a sawmill business and can be used to improve the financial   largest cost component for sawmills”.
          success of any given sawmill.                         Using break-even analysis, net present value (NPV) analysis,
            Also, if a sawmill wants to know if a given combination of   and internal rate of return (IRR) analysis, these authors found
          logs (diameter class, length, species, grades) breaks-even or   that using the sawmill and pallet-part mill was economically
          makes a profit, (in industry parlance known as the break-even   feasible, but a new sawmill (scragg mill) was not. Except for

          log problem), knowledge of operating costs is necessary. That   this publication, publicly available cost data for eastern U.S.
          is why an understanding of operating cost data is crucially   hardwood sawmills is hard to come by.
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