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20    FOCUS                                                                        JAN/FEB 2025 FDM ASIA | www.fdmasia.com






         rawpixel.com                                        The bulk of import demand has shifted from Japan and,
                                                             to a lesser extent, South Korea, Taiwan and EU countries
                                                             (who together accounted for 78 percent of world imports in
                                                             1990 but for only nine percent in 2021) to mainly China and

                                                             India, which were responsible for 62 percent and 16 percent,
                                                             respectively, of world imports in 2021, compared with four
                                                             percent and five percent in 1990.
                                                                Trends in global imports of tropical logs since 2010 have
                                                             largely reflected demand in China’s domestic market and its
                                                             export markets for SPWPs. China has diversified its tropical
                                                             log sources from predominantly Southeast Asia to the Pacific
                                                             and Africa.
            These changes reflect the relative competitiveness of   Major trends in tropical log exports include a progressive

          plywood processing in the major producer countries and   decline in exports from Malaysia with the shrinking availability
          growth in domestic plywood demand in China and India.   of resources though SFM initiatives; and a decline in
            Other notable trends include the declining availability   exports from the Mekong subregion in response to a
          of large-diameter peeler quality logs, significant changes   general decline in the availability of industrial roundwood
          in production technology, rising production costs, and the   from natural forests due to historical overexploitation,
          increased availability of panel substitute products.  various government measures to limit harvesting in natural
            China and Vietnam have become the major tropical   forests, restrictions on exports of primary wood products,

          manufacturing hubs for secondary processed wood products   and national and international measures to control illegal
          (SPWPs). Malaysia, Indonesia and Thailand are also important   logging and cross-border trade.
          tropical SPWP producers based on plantation timbers.   Africa’s export focus has changed from EU countries to
            Tropical producer countries, however, are generally   China, while Papua New Guinea and Solomon Islands are now
          characterised by low levels of investment in wood technology,   the top exporters of tropical logs, which go overwhelmingly
          manufacturing, marketing, and research and development.   to China.
          Moreover, the preponderance of SMEs has exposed tropical   Tropical log exports have been affected by trade restrictions
          producers during global economic shocks because of limitations   imposed by exporter countries, particularly quantitative restrictions
          to their access to finance, negotiating power, and ability to   on exports of unprocessed logs, quotas on exports of certain

          respond quickly when markets recover.              products and species, and log export taxes.
                                                                Although restrictions on exports of unprocessed logs led
          Trade Moves East                                   to increased domestic wood-processing capacity (e.g. in
          World trade in tropical industrial roundwood has trended   Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines), this has often come
          downwards since 1990, with notable declines in 1997, 2007   at a high economic cost in the form of subsidisation and
          and 2020 in response to global economic shocks and with   inefficiencies—low log-conversion efficiencies are associated
          peaks  in 1990,  2000  and 2014  when  demand  in  import   with industrial overcapacity and high rates of deforestation.

          markets surged.                                       Major trends in the tropical sawnwood trade since 1990
            Major changes in the directions of trade have also occurred.   have been the decline in importance of Europe (particularly
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