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14   MARKET BEATS                                                                  JAN/FEB 2025 FDM ASIA | www.fdmasia.com





          US Construction Industry                           percent  rise  in  new  housing  prices.  The  looming  threat  of

          Faces Threats                                      large-scale deportations raises serious questions about the
                                                             industry’s ability to meet housing demands.



          The  US  construction  industry  is  facing  dual  challenges  that   Rising lumber costs and tariffs
          threaten to disrupt its already fragile balance: labour shortages   On the materials side, the cost of 2 x 4 lumber and mass
          stemming from immigration policies and rising material costs   timber products is set to soar under new tariff plans.
          driven by proposed tariffs.                           President Trump has proposed a 25 percent tariff on
            According  to  a  report  by  the  Pew  Research  Center  and   Canadian goods, including softwood lumber, compounding
          the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, undocumented   the existing 14.54 percent tariff. Such measures could drive
          workers make up over 13 percent of the national construction   up construction expenses significantly, especially as the US
          workforce, with that figure climbing above 50 percent in   housing market remains tepid.
          construction-heavy states like California and Texas.  For many, these price increases recall the previous

                                                             administration’s trade policies, which sparked discussions
          Labor shortages from immigration policies          about boosting domestic production of cross-laminated timber
          Economists and major builders, as reported by The Wall   (CLT) and glulam.
          Street Journal, warn that mass deportations will exacerbate   While more than  2,000 mass  timber projects  are under
          workforce shortages, increase wages, and delay projects.   development nationwide, Pat Jolley of Forisk Consulting notes
            Research from the University of Utah and the University   that the US mass timber industry is still in its infancy.
          of Wisconsin highlighted the aftermath of over 300,000   “It remains to be seen how new trade policies will impact

          deportations between 2008 and 2013.                its growth,” Jolley remarked. Without significant investment in
            This led to countless unfilled construction roles, a year’s   domestic manufacturing, the reliance on imported materials
          worth of lost productivity in the average county, and a 20   could further strain project budgets.


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