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          the very different challenges facing the US hardwood sector   that it alone would not, in any case, provide a ‘green lane’
          to satisfy the EUDR.                               through the regulation) was also not an option in the US as
            Executive director Mike Snow said the EUDR was ‘going   it had not been taken up widely. This was again in large part
          after the right things’ in terms of its prime aim to combat   due to fragmented, small-scale forest ownership.

          deforestation caused by conversion of forest land and in its
          coverage of the agricultural commodities most implicated in this.   Bespoke deforestation-free system for US hardwoods
            He added, the risk of US hardwood deriving from such   Mr Oliver said that, faced with these hurdles, AHEC has been
          land was extremely low. “It’s estimated that disturbance   developing a bespoke system to provide a robust assurance
          of hardwood forest in terms of conversion to agriculture is   to international buyers that U.S. hardwoods are legally sourced
          running at about 0.005 percent of the total area a year,” he   and deforestation-free.
          said. “In anyone’s book, that is negligible risk.”    One of the pillars of the system, which is being created
            Regardless, the US hardwood sector will have to provide   with US government support, is legality risk assessment of
          proof to EU customers that each consignment of timber is   the 33 principal hardwood forest states. This is set to be

          legal and deforestation-free under the terms of the regulation,   completed this year by a team of experts from non-profit
          and that’s the problem.                            sustainability and environmental management consultants
            The key issue for the US hardwood sector, explained Mr   and advisors Dovetail Partners.
          Snow, was the fragmentation of forest ownership and the low   Mr Oliver explained that the AHEC system will combine
          intensity management operated in the country’s more than   the legality risk assessment with regular ‘high resolution’
          nine million private holdings.                     monitoring of deforestation risk at the level of individual
            With mills sourcing from a supply base of small forest   properties using AI and drawing on satellite data and the

          plots, often family owned, they would need to provide multiple   uniquely detailed land ownership mapping available in the US.
          geolocation coordinates for each timber shipment. Moreover,   “Satellite forest monitoring is best done on an annual
          as these  plots may only be harvested  once a  generation,   basis to show whether forest disturbance is part of regular
          sourcing coordinates would be different from year to year.   forestry processes or long-term and potentially deforestation,”
          The task would be highly complex and labour intensive.   said Mr Oliver. “A pilot of the system undertaken in the
            Mr Snow went so far as to say that, as things stand, the   first quarter of 2024 in Georgia picked up 11,000 points of
          EUDR posed a potentially ‘existential challenge’ to the US   forest disturbance, but the preliminary AI analysis suggested
          hardwood sector’s EU exports. Moreover, it had implications   only a tiny proportion of these would likely be followed by
          for its trade more widely.                         conversion to agriculture.”

            “While the EU itself accounts directly for 10 percen of   While the analysis will be carried out at sufficiently high
          US exports, its significance to the US industry is increased
          by the fact that a significant proportion of our exports to                                         Getty Images
          other countries, including China, Turkey, India, and Vietnam,
          are made into finished products destined for the EU. So,
          they will have to meet the requirements of the EUDR too.”
            AHEC  environmental policy director  Rupert  Oliver  said

          that relying on third party certification of forest management
          as a risk mitigation tool under the EUDR (and he stressed
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