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6    MARKET BEATS                                                                 JUL/AUG 2025 FDM ASIA | www.fdmasia.com






         Peter O'Connor aka anemoneprojectors                now reduced uncertainty in the construction sector. He said
                                                             there is a turning point in the EU housing market amid improve
                                                             affordability, rising real wages and declining interest rates.



                                                             EU timber and forestry garnering growing interest from
                                                             investors
                                                             According to globalaginvesting.com, private equity is undergoing
                                                             a strategic reset. Up against a perfect storm of inflationary
                                                             pressure, shifting investor preferences and a tightening regulatory
                                                             net, the industry has had to become nimbler, leaning into
                                                             sectors that offer both solid financial footing and tangible
                                                             environmental value.
                                                               One of the most notable shifts in today’s private capital

            Holger Lösch, executive board member of the Federation   markets is the growing momentum behind timber and forestry
          of German Industries, said European regulations were trying   funds—a once-niche strategy that is now gaining notoriety as
          to do the impossible and performing ‘gymnastics’ in their   a key component of climate-focused portfolios.
          policy approach.                                     A new EY report, entitled “The Rise of Timber and Forestry
            This came, he said, from a general distrust towards   Funds in Recovering PE and VC markets,” dives into the rising
          businesspeople from Europea policymakers and a risk averse   influence of timber and climate funds around the world—
          approach.                                          particularly in the EU.

            Mr Lösch said policymakers were understanding that the   After several years of market upheaval, including trillions
          industry had tough challenges, but they were also intent on   in sidelined capital that is finally shrinking, the private equity
          ambitious climate targets.                         and venture capital space has begun to find its footing.
            “There is an internal fight about what measures we need   Global PE fundraising fell to $680 billion in 2024, marking
          to take to gain business confidence again, while still helping   the third consecutive annual decline and the lowest tally since
          climate targets,” he said.                         2015, according to Preqin and Pitchbook data.
            “We need to get away from this attitude of regulating every   Venture capital also cooled, with 1,783 funds raised—a 40
          detail because it is ruining our innovation.”      percent drop from the year-ago period. Yet the performance
            New  EPF managing director Matti Rantanen reported a   isn’t totally bleak. Investors directed $619 billion across 462

          growth in building permits towards the end of 2024 (+14%)   mega-deals, up 35 percent year-over-year, signalling a shift
          and the start of 2025 (+5%), following a declining trend in   toward fewer but larger bets.
          recent years. But he said economic sentiment remains in   Geographically, North America, Europe and Asia capture
          “negative territory” for the industry.             the biggest wave of private capital deal flow, though each
            The furniture sector experienced a minor increase in   region is charting its own course. Asia is seeing a surge in
          production in Q1, 2025 year-on-year, after a 20 percent decline   VC funding, fuelled by tech innovation.
          from mid-2022 to the end of 2024.                    Globally, artificial intelligence is crowding deal pipelines,

            Mr Rantanen summarised by saying private consumption   with AI investment up 35 percent from 2023. In Europe,
          is the main current growth driver in the EU27, while there is   sustainability continues to influence asset allocation, and
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