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MARKET BEATS           11
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          37.8 percent in volume and 45 percent   shortages.                  the EU-28 surged, with volume rising 38
          in value, driven primarily by Film Face   South Korea imported 1.95 million   percent and value increasing 82 percent
          Plywood and Combi Plywood demand.  cubic metres of plywood during January–  year-on-year in Q1 2026.
            The US market experienced the steepest   November  2025,  up  from  1.62  million   Exports to the UK climbed from
          decline. Indonesia’s plywood exports to   cubic metres in 2024.     US$5.2 million to US$7.5 million. For
          the U.S. fell 62 percent in volume and 58   Demand in 2026 continues to strengthen,   May–June 2026 shipments, Indonesian

          percent in value during Q1 2026 following   particularly for floor-base plywood and   producers have proposed price increases
          the implementation of anti-dumping (AD)   10mm renovation products. Indonesian   of US$40–100 per cubic metre to offset
          and countervailing duties (CVD).   exporters raised prices to South Korea   rising production costs.
            Final determinations are scheduled for   by US$60 per cubic metre in April 2026.  The EU Deforestation Regulation
          July 15, 2026. Indonesia’s market share   Taiwan imported 867,000 cubic   (EUDR) will take effect on December
          in the U.S. deteriorated sharply — from   metres of plywood throughout 2025.   30, 2026, requiring Indonesian producers
          the top exporter in January to third place   Average Indonesian plywood prices to   to strengthen geolocation systems and
          in February, and nearly absent from the   Taiwan were US$210 per cubic metre   supply chain traceability. The anticipated
          market by March 2026.             — significantly below Vietnam (US$327)   Indonesia–EU CEPA agreement, expected

            Canada and Mexico have become   and Malaysia (US$491).            in 2027, could significantly reduce tariffs
          important stabilisers for North America.   Malaysia imported 119,853 tons from   for HS 4412 products.
          Exports to Canada rose 62 percent in   Indonesia during January–March 2026,
          volume and 48 percent in value year-  making it Indonesia’s third-largest market.   Domestic market and cost
          on-year in March 2026.            Much of the material is used for laminates   pressures
            Mexico recorded even stronger   and secondary panel processing before   Indonesia’s economy expanded 5.61 percent
          growth, with export volume surging 125   being re-exported to third countries.  year-on-year in Q1 2026, supported by

          percent and value soaring 140 percent.  Indonesia’s plywood exports to the   Ramadan and Eid-related consumption
            Japan remains the most stable market   Middle East during January–March 2026   and government spending programmes.
          for Indonesian producers. Average Japanese   plunged 52 percent in volume and 67   The USD/IDR exchange rate approaching
          imports of Indonesian plywood reached   percent in value compared to the same   Rp18,000 has improved export competitiveness
          60,000–61,000 cubic metres per month   period in 2025—falling from US$39.1   from a domestic cost perspective, although
          during January–March 2026, up from   million to US$13 million.      it simultaneously increases the cost of
          57,425 cubic metres monthly in 2025.   March 2026 marked the lowest point,   imported inputs such as chemicals and
            Several Indonesian producers have   with export volume collapsing 84 percent   machinery spare parts.
          successfully negotiated higher selling   and export value dropping 91.4 percent   Domestically, plywood selling prices

          prices for upcoming shipments.    year-on-year. Crude oil prices exceeding   have yet to fully adjust to rising production
            Japan’s housing starts in March 2026   US$100 per barrel triggered surging freight   costs, leaving producers with increasingly
          stood at approximately 63,500 units,   costs and vessel shortages.  thin margins. Major government projects,
          returning to normal monthly levels after   Despite the European Commission   including the new capital city development
          unusually high  figures in March  2025.   cutting eurozone growth forecasts from   (IKN), continue to apply procurement
          Plywood inventories in Japan remain   1.3 percent in 2025 to 0.9 percent in   prices that many producers consider
          sufficient without significant supply   2026, Indonesia’s wood panel exports to   economically unsustainable.
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